LIVE
BUF/MIA50.5+1.0
KC/LV47.0-0.5
LAR/SEA45.5±0
PHI/DAL49.0+0.5
CIN/BAL44.5+1.0
ALLEN CEIL38.6+1.4
HILL CEIL32.4+0.8
BUF WIND14↓ 4
VOL. 4 · ISSUE 32MONDAY, MAY 18, 2026
The Breakdown
4,820 READERS10K SIMS WEEKLY
ALLEN CEILING Δ+1.4
SLATE PREVIEWCEILING Δ+1.4
OWN Δ+0
LEVERAGE0.94
TOTAL50.5
JM
Jordan M.· May 14 · 4 min
QB
RB
RB
WR
WR
WR
TE
FLEX
DST
Last week's Milly Maker winner ran 12k sims. Here's the decode.
Stack shape, leverage, and one surprising late swap.
SK
Sam K.· May 12 · 7 min
STRATEGY
— 9 minWhy leverage beats raw projection in GPPs (with receipts)
A 6,000-iteration backtest across the last 8 weeks.
JM
Jordan M.· May 10 · 9 min
FREE SIM · 1K ITER
01
J. Allen BUF
22.402
S. Diggs BUF
17.403
T. Hill MIA
16.804
J. Cook BUF
11.805
D. Smith MIA
9.4ALSO THIS WEEK— 3
PlayersInsightsBuildSubmit
TUTORIAL— 5 min
How I use Sim Lab to find +EV stacks in under 4 minutes
A short, opinionated workflow.
RP
Riley P.· May 9 · 5 min
L = ownyou / ownfield
STRATEGY— 6 min
Ownership leverage 101: the only math you actually need
No PhD required. Just one ratio.
JM
Jordan M.· May 6 · 6 min
#1
22.0
#2
20.0
#3
18.0
#4
16.0
#5
14.0
FREE SIM— 2 min
This week's free sim snapshot: top 5 plays, no paywall
Run yourself. Steal our seeds.
SB
Slate Breaker· May 13 · 2 min
LATEST POSTS— 5
014 min027 min039 min045 min053 min
MAY 14SLATE PREVIEW
BUF/MIA wind dropped 4mph — what 10k sims say about Allen now
The market hasn't fully repriced. We dug into the new distribution and there's a measurable edge.
MAY 12RECAP
Last week's Milly Maker winner ran 12k sims. Here's the decode.
Stack shape, leverage, and one surprising late swap.
MAY 10STRATEGY
Why leverage beats raw projection in GPPs (with receipts)
A 6,000-iteration backtest across the last 8 weeks.
MAY 9TUTORIAL
How I use Sim Lab to find +EV stacks in under 4 minutes
A short, opinionated workflow.
MAY 8PLAYER NEWS
Nacua usage just spiked. What does that mean for his Week 9 ceiling?
A small change in target share, a big change in the distribution.